, I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. We picked our He tends to thrive when conditions get more difficult, which will be expected at PGA National this week. managing editor: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Nobody has been better over the past 24 rounds than Finau, whos third in SG/approach, sixth in SG/off the tee and 12th in putting. Gdula: Maverick McNealy (26-1, FanDuel) I cant suggest fading anyone at 18-1 or shorter. The PGA Tour's Fall Swing continues this week in Mexico, where the now former World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is back in action and back in his rightful spot as the solo favorite. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content, owner of the Mayo Media Network and host of The Pat Mayo Experience. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give himself plenty of chances. Mayo: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) Mav has a good chance to win, but I cannot in good conscience bet him when hes the same price as Morikawa. What 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bets should you target? Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Well do the same taking a couple from each article and summing it up for you! Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us. Min Woo Lee ($9,400 DraftKings | $11,000 FanDuel). Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 The American Express field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. Matt Fitzpatrick might be coming back down to earth after his US Open win so take Jon Rahm to beat the Englishman in a 72-hole match bet at -130 DraftKings Jon Rahm Now Heavy Favorite at Arnold Palmer Invitational After Strong First Round, Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Bettor in For Wild Pay Day if Scottie Scheffler Repeats, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds & Trends: Bettors Loving Will Zalatoris, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshot Bets: Keith Mitchell Scorching Hot, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Picks: It May Be Collin Morikawa Time. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. Corey Conners ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). The next biggest story to watch is Viktor Hovland's quest for a three-peat in this event, something that has not been done on the PGA Tour since Steve Stricker won three consecutive John Deere Classics between 2009 and 2011. The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Gehman: Jason Day (-120) over K.H. For the first time since his back injury last year, Zalatoris looked like himself again in his most recent start. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. On paper, El Camaleon should be an excellent course for him except its been horrible there. . 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Rickie Fowler Time! And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. Tway got through the cut at both full-field elevated events, finishing top 40 in both. Bermuda: Russell Knox. The 2023 Genesis Invitational. He held the lead for much of the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing T-4, before consecutive T-20 finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles. On the odds board in Vegas, Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy top the list of favorites, followed by Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns. But we arent making one pick. Were making three. The future of golf betting? Heres what the PGA Tour thinks it will look like The game were playing is on Chirp, a free-to-play mobile game. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! He gained 8.42 strokes putting at the Honda Classic. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Despite the struggles, hes not that far off. Shane Lowry (T-35, T-3, T-3), 3. For live odds, visit BetMGM. 1 Jon Rahm is looking for his fourth win of 2023. The pair are former roommates and like the Gooch/Homa pair, will have great chemistry on the course. The only thing worrisome about this play is he hasnt truly contended on the PGA Tour yet, even last week after he grabbed a share of the first round lead. Courses 189 View detail Preview site McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. Hes top 10 in driving accuracy over the past year, according to datagolf, and hes second in SG/approach in that span, as well. He missed the cut in both Phoenix and Los Angeles, struggling to put all four facets of the game together. Stop Guessing and Start Winning! Its a stat line that is full of red flags. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. 1. (Photo: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports). Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,100 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). Lee (DraftKings) There are exciting things happening with Days game right now, primarily his significant improvement on approach shots. Alex Noren ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). Kim +17000Justin Suh +17000Kevin Yu +17000Byeong Hun An +17000Ben Taylor +17000Troy Merritt +19000Stewart Cink +19000Callum Tarren +19000Matthew NeSmith +19000Erik Van Rooyen +21000Satoshi Kodaira +21000Adam Long +21000Charley Hoffman +21000David Lingmerth +21000. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out. RELATED: Worldwide Technology Championship DFS picks 2022: Scottie Schefflers glaring weakness. Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Kevin Yu ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel) Andy Lyons No matter the finishing position, you can 2023 Honda Classic Odds & Trends: Shane Lowry & Sunjae Im Lead the Pack. He was finalist for four FSWA Awards in 2020 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! Aaron Wise ($9,200 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. Six straight made cuts for the Belgian, including four finishes of 12th or better. And which sleepers could set you up for a potentially huge payday? Set a budget. Kapalua Plantation Course 4. This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | NBA Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings and Underdog, DraftKings Showdown Single Round Projections. His short game has been tidy, gaining strokes around-the-green in five of his last seven starts while gaining strokes with his putter in seven straight. The Approach: A picks and preview article from Nolan Kelly that uses some of @Awesemos projection for the week! Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Hell look to find some putting improvements this week on the greens at PGA National. The American Express 2023 will run over three courses, but all are similar -- short and featuring few hazards. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. The PGA Tour is headed to TPC Louisiana for the Zurich Classic, a team event where the format of play rotates between best ball and alternate shot. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks 2023: Rory McIlroy's staggering advanced metrics, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to defend his title while No. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend. Jon Rahm +550Patrick Cantlay +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Tony Finau +1500Xander Schauffele +1900Will Zalatoris +1900Tom Kim +2000Sungjae Im +2100Cameron Young +2100Sam Burns +2900Si Woo Kim +2900Brian Harman +3400Aaron Wise +4200Tom Hoge +4200Taylor Montgomery +4500Cameron Davis +4800J.T. Scheffler has four straight top-10 finishes, including a runner-up at the Hero World Challenge.You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine. Back the 2017 Open Championship winner to triumph at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook. It wont be all fun and games this week because PGA National is one of the toughest tests in all of golf. His ball-striking is elite on this circuit, but hes not reliant on that aspect of his game. Sepp Straka (T-35, T-30, T-3), Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc. Cole was impressive and a great story last week, but theres a big red flag in his stat profile. Bramlett will enter with back-to-back T-15 finishes, where hes gained over 10 strokes in the ball-striking categories. PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. Gehman: Brendon Todd (+500, Bet365) Todd has found magic with his irons twice already during this season. Play with trusted, licensed operators. McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. Now he gets to battle a much weaker field, where he should be able to separate himself more frequently. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay. Gdula: Matt Kuchar (60-1, FanDuel) Kuchar has flashed upside in reasonable spots over the past year, and he now heads to a course that can reward him for being accurate off the tee and not penalize him too much for being a shorter hitter. Mayo (@ThePME) was named 2021 Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writing Association, while also being a finalist for Podcast of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Adam Svensson ($8,700 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). Hes combining solid approach play with a hot putter to throw his name into the mix more consistently. Joaqun Niemann (R) of Chile celebrates with the trophy alongside friend and competitor Mito Pereira (L) of Chile after winning the final round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2022 in Pacific Palisades, California. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. Hes very inconsistent and has struggled putting all four rounds together, but you can see hes growing and getting more comfortable on the PGA Tour. Those who can avoid disaster and grind their way through 72 holes will give themselves a chance to hoist the trophy on Sunday night. Scottish Open Picks Jordan Spieth often excels the week before a Major and loves the links. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. The Scotsman ranks seventh in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and this is the exact style of course where Knox can start taking these opportunities. Look for these on Wednesday afternoons. 1, who has gone eighth-11th in his last two starts, seemingly out of nowhere. Eric Cole ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. He is playing well against elite fields and has proven that he can contend and win in any tournament he enters. The pro-am event, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, has an average winning score of 24 under par over the past 10 years. While he still has work to do, many fully exempt members would love to trade places with that position, but it projects to improve at Bay Hill where he placed T17 in his last trip in 2019. Betting Preview for the Euro Tour: A quick hitter article for some Euro Tour action provided by both Ben Rasa and Jason Rouslin. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. Were back with another edition of PGA He is followed by Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) as top contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Hes played at Bay Hill each of the last three years and hasnt finished worse than T-20. A strong field will tee off Thursday beginning at 11:30 a.m. McDonald also has been on the money on his matchup plays and cashed in huge on Brendan Steele (80-1) as the first-round leader at the Zozo Championship. Lee +19000J.J. The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. And for a guy whos been batting about .500 for four seasons, its notable that hes 7-for-11 this season with a T25 at Torrey Pines and a T29 at Riviera. Bay Hill rewards great approach players. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make Grant has quietly flashed brilliance this year, earning a T-25 at Torrey Pines and a T-20 at Pebble Beach. Which overlooked golfer could pull off a victory that would pay off at more than 60-1? The model also included J.T. His game can clearly travel and his upside is immense. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks.

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