The game was won with Ben Roethlisbergers perfect pass to Santonio Holmes, who somehow got two feet down in the back of the end zone. Pittsburgh sent six men to the Pro Bowl, went a decent 10-3-1 in the regular season and, of course, won the Lombardi Trophy. All Rights Reserved. Sure, it was a massive upset and Joe Namaths guarantee adds to the lore, but the game itself was a bore. Andy Reids never-ending two-minute drill robbed us of what could have been an exciting ending. The Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. Matt Stafford, on the other hand, is learning a new offense, albeit with a smart coach and talented skill players. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared on every show on the network. They're returning the 2020 MVP and had the league's most efficient offense last year -- yes, even better than Kansas City's. Plenty of star power like Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks, Aaron Donald, and Ndamukong Suh. This unit -- like the offense -- has the potential to be an elite group. Green Bay Packers +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total), The Packers are tied for the second-best odds to win the NFC, but their arduous schedule includes a league-high 10 games against teams that made the playoffs last year. A great defense and front seven, but their running game hit on all cylinders with 2.305 total team rushing yards. 11 in the league, per FPI) isn't a problem with that kind of strength on the other side of the ball. Check out the full strength of schedule rankings here. One playoff win and taking the Kansas City Chiefs to the brink last season opened opportunities for the Browns, who possess one of the most talented rosters in the conference. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | As Rodgers' future hung in the balance over the summer, so too did the Packers' projections. The 1991 Redskins might be the greatest team in NFL history, which bumps this game up a few spots. The 11 Worst Quarterbacks To Win A Super Bowl This is one of the worst rosters in the league, but Houston (at least) has a chance to win games if Watson plays. Tennessee Titans +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total), Probably the favorites in the division given the Colts' injuries, but Im leery of taking the bait. They had a top 5 offense and defense. Denver Broncos +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total), Yes, this is irrationally high. But it wasn't always so certain that FPI would give Green Bay the love. 10. Their defense only gave up 9.5 points per game in a 14-game season. This post originally ran in January 2018. They were the 3rd best scoring offense in the league, but 28th on defense. 55) Super Bowl XLVIII (2013) The 2013 Seahawks were able to take advantage of this game to solidify themselves as an all-time NFL defense. It helps that the Browns arguably have a top three offensive line in football (if not the best). If you look at the teams in this stratosphere, theres a lot of continuity at the coordinator positions and, obviously, head coach and QB. The first of the Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowls gave us those beautiful NFL Films shots of Lynn Swanns acrobatic catch. In the playoffs, Indianapolis Colts kicker Mike Vanderjagt had to have a meltdown of epic proportions to send the Steelers to the Conference Championship and cover up for Bettis' fumble earlier in the contest. Seriously, the Vikings are never allowed to make another Super Bowl. It truly is a remarkable tale, but the Patriots were nothing special on the way there. It also gave us the first and only Super Bowl blackout. Las Vegas Raiders +6600 (bet $10 to win $670 total), One of the most dysfunctional teams in the league, the Raiders once again scream "stay away. Gruden did bring the Raiders back from almost a decade of ineptness and he did win a Super Bowl against the Raiders, but the rest of his career he was pretty much a .500 coach. FPI is able to reconcile that issue to determine a more accurate SOS. This was the first of the Cowboys three Super Bowl wins in the 90s. While that's a long shot with Kansas City in the conference, both the Ravens and Browns have at least a 10% shot to pull it off. Keep in mind, those numbers assume there is some chance Wentz plays in each of these games, particularly the later ones. But we are going to look past that kick for just a minute. Matt Ryan was an MVP and led the best offense, but the defense surrendered 25.4 points per game. Ryan Tannehill has been a top five quarterback over the last two seasons and it hasn't been talked about enough. Three different QBs started six games. Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Team-by-team strength-of-schedule rankings, Projecting the NFL's best and worst pass-protecting offensive lines: 1-32 ranking, Ranking all 32 NFL teams based on how much better (or worse) they got this offseason, NFL Future Power Rankings: Projections for all 32 teams for the next three seasons, Watson sexually assaulted them or engaged in sexually inappropriate behavior, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Of course, it is impossible to label a Super Bowl-winning team as average, but this 49ers team was certainly not up to par with others. Take note: This isn't technically a ranking of the teams from very worst to very best, although the worse teams tend to be toward the bottom and the better teams toward the top. Peyton Manning winning his second ring bumps this one up a few spots. to win But the rest of the roster is important, too. This 97 Cardinals team scored 78. The presence of Lawrence gives Jacksonville hope for the first time in years. The defense ranked just 24th in the league that year, and a questionable call known as the "Tuck Rule" against the Oakland Raiders in the divisional round helped the Patriots reach the Super Bowl when many believed they did not belong. The most interesting thing about this Super Bowl remains Hank Strams micd up footage. Theres a reason teams from the NFC North are so low here, and its the schedule. An 11-win season leaning on the talent of John Elway and the defense's ability to hold teams to under three touchdowns. Super Bowl VIII: They faced perfection, so how can you be harsh when talking about them? Drafting Ja'Marr Chase over Penei Sewell was a questionable move, especially since Cincinnati's atrocious offensive line led to franchise quarterback Joe Burrow tearing his ACL in his rookie season. The Worst Teams in NFL History to Win a Super Bowl The least memorable of the Giants four Super Bowl wins also happened to be their most dominant. On the other end of the spectrum is Denver. One of the bigger mismatches in Super Bowl history, this one gets bonus points for being the first one and the Chiefs actually keeping things interesting for 30 minutes after going into the half trailing by only four points. This 11-5Oakland Raiders teamfinished second in the AFC West in an era when there were only three divisions. This is how good the NFC West is: There's a 37% chance that three of the four teams reach the playoffs, and there's even a 3% chance that all four get in. Although the Rams are FPI's top team of the bunch, San Francisco is actually the favorite here. Tennessee already has the game's best running back in Derrick Henry and one of the league's best big-play receivers in A.J. The 1970s Steelers gave us one last entertaining Super Bowl before its dynasty ended. 13. It did earn him a bunch of money. Seriously, I get the Super Bowl is one of the worst in history, but this team was really great with an underappreciated defense. You won't believe how good some of these teams were. It featured the great comeback, the only overtime in Super Bowl history, not one but two spectacular catches and a fascinating chess match between the Falcons and Patriots coaching staffs. I'll take my chances on a 1-in-15 shot that the Niners put all the pieces back together and raise the Lombardi in February. 12:11 pm ET, NFL combine 2023 tracker: Top performances, highlights, Jones assures Cowboys still interested in Beckham, NFL Combine 2023: Colossal Richardson breaks QB records, NFL combine measurements: Full list of WR, TE numbers, Jackson Mahomes accused of assault at Kansas restaurant, Agent's Take: Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Teams that never won SB that have best chance in 2021, Mock Draft: Panthers, Colts trade up for QBs, Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Richardson breaks QB record in vertical jump, Pascal robbed at gunpoint, assaulted; WR 'doing fine', Bryce Young measures similar to former No. After power was restored, the 49ers turned what looked to be another big game blowout into a nail-biter that Baltimore won thanks to a goal line stand and some questionable San Francisco play-calling. This game will be remembered for two plays: The surprise onside kick to start the second half and Tracy Porters game-sealing pick-6 of Manning. It was never even close as the Seahawks dominated from the opening snap. Mahomes becomes the first quarterback to win the regular-season NFL most-valuable-player award and the Super Bowl in the same season in 23 years. They have a new head coach, new offensive coordinator, new defensive coordinator, and rookie QB.. Their strategy to run it back with nearly the same squad looks (on paper) like it could pay off; the Bucs have an 85% chance to reach the playoffs and a 15% shot to repeat as champions, according to FPI. The Philadelphia Eagles were the most recent team to leave the "never won a Super Bowl" club, but the league only has three first-time Super Bowl winners since the start of the 2009 season. A 133 record, and a top 5 offense and defense, this was the derailing of a potential dynasty. Baltimore has a unique spot on this list because its inclusion is not based on mediocre talent (it had players like Bubba Smith and Johnny Unitas) or that it struggled to win games (the Colts went 11-2-1). If the Kansas City Chiefs didn't have a generational quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and a Hall of Fame head coach in Andy Reid, the Bills would have reached their first Super Bowl in 27 years. Stroud showed love to Justin Fields when explaining why he doesn't the Bears to draft him: 'That's his team', The Red Sox found a loophole in the MLB shift ban and it stinks for Joey Gallo, Survivor 44: Meet the castaways who will compete for $1 million in Fiji, Mets fans hilariously embraced basketball tactics to confuse players on the pitch clock, The Warriors left Russell Westbrook ridiculously wide open and it worked to perfection, Watch: Man tries feeding bison near Yellowstone; it doesnt go well, 2023 NFL Combine Winners Day 1: Blazing-fast DTs give the Bears plenty to consider, Ranking all 32 NFL teams' helmet logos, from worst to best, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Arizona still needs more help in the secondary, but defensive coordinator Vance Joseph has man-cover corners to fit his scheme. Twenty-two women have said in lawsuits that Watson sexually assaulted them or engaged in sexually inappropriate behavior during massage sessions. This team just wasn't ready yet. ", Remember, this is about *value* in Super Bowl odds. Super Bowl As the tweet said, only 28 players have achieved that in the last decade-plus. With a hostage crisis in Iran taking attention away from the game, the Raiders and Eagles made sure Americans too concerned to tune into a football game didnt miss much. Super Bowl worst Denver got out to a 10-0 lead before Washington dropped a Super Bowl-record 35 points in the second quarter on the Broncos defense. New York didnt want Buffalos explosive offense on the field, so it grinded out the clock on the ground and ended up winning the time of possession battle by about 20 minutes. Let's dive into the 2021 FPI projections with the 10 biggest takeaways. We cant put a Super Bowl featuring Rex Grossman too high on the list, but Peyton Manning winning his first ring salvages this one. The NFC, with two of the top six teams in FPI rating, is a little less threatening than the AFC. Replying to @GoBirds___ and @FanDuel. However, New York went just 10-6 in the regular season. Arizona was on its way to the playoffs before Kyler Murray's shoulder injury limited him late in the season, hurting a potential All-Pro campaign. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. So much needs to go right for the Broncos to get into the playoffs, much less the Super Bowl. In the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh managed just 16 points and won a defensive slugfest 16-6. Super Bowl This was the year that Joe Montana and Steve Young alternated starts at quarterback until eventually Montana firmly took the reins down the stretch. 17. The Super Bowl has been around 55 years, yet more than a third of the league has never hoisted a Vince Lombardi Trophy. They lost the Super Bowl 1055 against the San Francisco 49ers. A full explanation for how FPI works can be found here, but here's the abridged version: The model determines forward-looking strength ratings for every team based on a variety of factors, including team win total, projected starting quarterback, returning starters and past performance on offense, defense and special teams. Four teams have yet to even reach the Super Bowl (two of them started as a franchise after 1990). If Lance does beat out Garoppolo, that would be a sign he is comparable to the veteran, and thus a downgrade might not make sense. Just when the Falcons appeared to have a team set to contend for a playoff berth in 2021, Atlanta traded Julio Jonesto the Titans for draft picks. As of now, FPI is working under the assumption that two rookies -- the Jaguars' Lawrence and the Jets' Wilson -- are their respective teams' current starters. They are part of the legacy of the biggest game in sports, and they had fought hard an entire winning season. And they do return all 11 starters on offense and defense., If they get by the Rams in Week 3, theyll be favored in every game the rest of the way, and youll regret not taking a flier that you can potentially hedge later., 2. It's all about the schedule. Teams that barely squeak into the playoffs with a wild-card berth have become frequent commodities on this list, so it only feels appropriate to include the first wild-card team to ever win the Super Bowl. Kam Chancellor should have been MVP. Aaron Rodgers capped off a brilliant playoff run with a masterful performance against one of the leagues best defenses. The market is super high on Buffalo theyre only underdogs in two games, vs Tampa and KC but there likely will be some form of regression. This team is just two years removed from the AFC Championship Game and is in position to "win now." They played in plenty of close games, and Steve McNair and Eddie George were superb. What makes a great Super Bowl? Brady and Belichick established the Patriots as a dynasty with their third Lombardi in four years. Brown (+1800) Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles (+2200) DeVonta Smith, WR, Eagles (+3000) Haason Reddick, LB, Eagles (+3000) Chris Jones, DT, Chiefs (+4000) Article. The Titans thrust themselves into Super Bowl contention with the offseason addition of Julio Jones, a massive upgrade over departed free agent Corey Davis. There are quite a few contenders to win their first Super Bowl in 2021, and the two favorites reside in the loaded AFC. Jeremy Fowler polled a panel of more than 50 coaches, execs, scouts and players to come up with top-10 rankings for 2021: Edge | Interior DL | LB Search, watch, and cook every single Tasty recipe and video ever - all in one place! Malcolm Butlers game-winning interception remains the best ending in Super Bowl history. When Indianapolis traded for Wentz, the organization bet on a bounce-back year from the former Eagles quarterback. The Dirty Bird Falcons werent a match for the best team John Elway played on. Team-by-team strength-of-schedule rankings. Joe Namath may have guaranteed a Super Bowl III win over the Baltimore Colts, but he didn't say anything about being the best team of all time. The Colts have the third worst odds at +15000, while the Texans have the worst overall odds at +30000. An 11-win team with only 20.3 points per game. Pittsburgh Steelers +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Their win total is 8.5, yet Mike Tomlin has never finished under .500 as coach of the Steelers. There were great pieces, but the team was not performing at its peak. On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady & Co. are projected to be the No. Adding Patrick Peterson, Xavier Woods, Sheldon Richardsonand Dalvin Tomlinson in free agency improves this unit -- which also gets Danielle Hunter back from a neck injury. A solid team all around, but more importantly, proficient on offense and defense. Will head coach Zac Taylor actually commit to the run and take the pressure off of Burrow? The game was a blowout but did give us one of the most iconic moments in Super Bowl history: Don Beebe chasing down a prematurely celebrating Leon Lett. With a 19% chance to win the Super Bowl, the Chiefs are a bit above average for the league's favorite heading into the season. Bart Starr won MVP with only 13 completions. This Super Bowl gave us a bunch of memorable performances. They went 7-3 in one-score games last year and led the NFL in turnover margin (+11). Dallas got out to an early 10-point lead and never looked back. This was a great Super Bowl, but can we stop saying the Titans were one yard short of winning it? Plenty of fans were made because the 1998 Minnesota Vikings are the best team of all time to never make a Super Bowl. Kansas City Chiefs +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total), Its really hard to get to the Super Bowl. The 2007 New England Patriots won every game (160) and did so in tremendous fashion. It was easily the sloppiest Super Bowl of all-time. Tom Brady also led a top offense in his MVP season, finishing with a 133 regular-season record. I'm sure fans in Baltimore still curse Joe Namath's Super Bowl guarantee. You may have been expecting one of the more famous Super Bowl results to land a little higher on the list. Slightly. That's right, a team with Jerry Rice had a running back gain more receiving yards. Stroud, Will Levis, Anthony Richardson don't lack confidence at NFL combine, Bettors are backing Bears, Lions, Jets to make, win Super Bowl, NFLPA report cards show link between player-friendly coaches and winning, Georgia's Nolan Smith turns heads with blazing 40 at NFL combine, Alabama QB Bryce Young confident in abilities, downplays questions about frame, Stroud opposes Bears drafting him, defends Fields: 'That's his team', Sharp: Ravens have themselves to blame for not getting Lamar Jackson help, 49ers offseason preview: Potential Super Bowl team must figure out QB spot. The defense wasn't that much better either, finishing 27th in points allowed, 30th in yards allowed, and recorded the fewest turnovers in the league. Id have to guess the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. ), and every Texans opponent's win total is inflated for the same reason. That they have to play each other twice and are vying for the same divisional crown are limiting factors when it comes to win total and a chance to earn the coveted top seed in the AFC. Ron Jaworski, Harold Carmichael, and Wilbert Montgomery all had a part in this offense. Sam Darnold cannot go from worst QB in the NFL (by some metrics) to winning the Super Bowl in twelve months. Just how goofy was this game? If not for the dramatic ending, this game may have finished last on this list. What was the worst NFL defensive team to win a Super Bowl? Bettis got his ring before retirement andthe Steelersgreatly overachieved in the process. WebAbout Press Copyright Contact us Creators Advertise Developers Press Copyright Contact us Creators Advertise Developers Some may argue this should be higher than third, but, before Scott Norwoods infamous miss, the Giants and Bills did not give us a very exciting game. The best chance they had and they were wide right. There was a reason the Colts were heavily favored going into the big game: The Jets were not all that good.

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